Oil Surges, Nasdaq Slips as Iran Strikes Pressure Semis | MarketReader Minute
Global equity markets decline amid rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions following U.S. strikes on Iran, raising inflation concerns.
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Monday, July 13
Noteworthy macro moves today: Nasdaq 100 Index (US) -1.3%. Oil (WTI) +4.0%. Bitcoin -1.9%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: Broadcom Inc (AVGO) -1.8%. NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) -1.6%. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) +1.5%.
Global equity indices are trading lower today, with the Nasdaq 100 Index down by 1.3%. This decline follows renewed geopolitical tensions after the U.S. launched fresh strikes against Iran over the weekend, which has raised concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies and inflationary pressures. Oil prices have surged by approximately 4% as a result of these developments, further complicating market sentiment.
In the U.S., stock futures are mixed; while Dow Jones futures show slight gains, both S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are declining amid fears that escalating tensions in the Middle East could impact economic stability and inflation expectations. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman's recent speech indicated a significant likelihood (68.5%) that interest rates will remain unchanged during the upcoming meeting, but ongoing geopolitical issues may influence future monetary policy decisions.
Asian markets have shown mixed performance today; while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index is higher, major indices like Japan's Nikkei 225 and China's A50 are lower due to concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz's status following Iranian claims of closure amidst military actions. This uncertainty is contributing to a cautious atmosphere among investors as they await key economic data releases later this week.
In Europe, equity indices are trading mixed; while France's CAC 40 is higher, other major indices such as Germany's DAX and the UK's FTSE 100 are lower. Investors appear to be weighing corporate earnings expectations against rising oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions, which could further complicate inflation dynamics in the region.

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) [+3.2%]
Global crude oil prices surged early Monday following renewed U.S. military strikes against Iran, raising concerns over escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Brent crude futures rose 4.04% to $79.08 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed 4.54% to $74.65 per barrel. This rally is reflected in oil-tracking exchange-traded funds, with United States Oil Fund LP gaining in pre-market hours to an overnight price of $113.34. Top economist Mohamed El-Erian noted that the intensification of hostilities could challenge market assumptions about the conflict remaining contained, suggesting a volatile outlook for oil prices as tensions continue to rise.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) [-2.5%]
Renewed military tensions between the U.S. and Iran have escalated, raising concerns about potential disruptions to global trade and increasing operational costs for semiconductor companies. This geopolitical uncertainty has contributed to a decline in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which is trading lower in pre-market hours. The ETF's holdings have been negatively impacted by significant losses among key contributors, including NVIDIA, Micron Technology, and Applied Materials. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 Index has also declined, reflecting a broader market trend that may be influencing SMH's performance. The ETF is experiencing a notable drop as investors react to these developments and increased volatility in energy prices.
iShares Silver Trust (SLV) [-2.1%]
Silver is facing downward pressure today due to escalating geopolitical tensions following U.S. military strikes against Iran. This conflict has contributed to a significant rise in crude oil prices, raising concerns about potential disruptions to global energy supplies. As a result, silver's appeal as an alternative investment during uncertain times has diminished. The iShares Silver Trust is trading lower in pre-market hours, reflecting this broader market sentiment. Earlier, it briefly rose before retracing, with current levels significantly below its 20-day moving average, indicating ongoing market weakness. Additionally, gold prices have declined, which typically correlates with movements in the iShares Silver Trust, further contributing to its drop since Friday's close.

MU | -5.4% | -55.8B
Micron Technology Inc | Information Technology
Micron Technology Inc's shares are declining amid a broader selloff in the memory-chip sector. In pre-market trading, the stock fell significantly, influenced by a more than 15% drop in shares of South Korean competitor SK Hynix, which has heightened negative sentiment across U.S.-listed memory stocks. Concerns regarding SK Hynix's upcoming second-quarter earnings, expected to fall below market forecasts due to slower shipments of next-generation high-bandwidth memory chips, have further exacerbated the situation. Additionally, global market pressures, including geopolitical tensions related to Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz, are contributing to a negative outlook for semiconductor stocks today.
INTC | -3.5% | -15.9B
Intel Corp | Information Technology
Intel Corp's recent lower price movement is primarily influenced by the broader decline in the Semiconductors sub-sector. Despite announcing a €5 billion ($5.7 billion) capital investment to enhance manufacturing capabilities at its Leixlip campus in Ireland, the stock has seen a decline. This initiative aims to meet rising global demand for AI and high-performance computing and is expected to create several hundred jobs. However, investor sentiment appears to be overshadowed by concerns regarding market conditions, as reflected in today's trading activity, which shows a significant drop from earlier levels in pre-market hours.
WDC | -5.8% | -10.4B
Western Digital Corp | Information Technology
Western Digital Corp experienced a notable decline during pre-market trading, driven by a broader selloff in the memory-chip sector. This downturn was intensified by a significant drop in shares of SK Hynix, which fell over 15%, raising concerns among U.S.-listed peers. A South Korean brokerage also forecasted disappointing second-quarter earnings for SK Hynix, citing slower-than-expected shipments of next-generation high-bandwidth memory chips. These developments negatively impacted investor sentiment, contributing to a sharp decline in Western Digital's stock. The asset traded lower since Friday's close, with a notable dip to a low earlier in the session before briefly rebounding.
STX | -4.7% | -8.6B
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC | Information Technology
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC is experiencing a notable decline in pre-market trading, reflecting broader market trends amid escalating geopolitical tensions. The Kospi index fell nearly 9%, driven by a 15% drop in South Korea's SK Hynix, which has negatively impacted sentiment across chipmakers. In this context, Seagate shares are down significantly, with reports indicating a pre-market decline of around 4%. This downward movement follows Iran's announcement regarding the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns about energy prices and global market stability. Despite this, Seagate has been recognized as one of the best-performing stocks year-to-date, with a gain of 223%, and Citi recently raised its price target for the company to 1,240 from 1,150.
RIVN | -3.3% | -0.6B
Rivian Automotive Inc | Consumer Discretionary
Investor sentiment surrounding Rivian Automotive Inc has turned negative following comments from investor Ross Gerber, who expressed a preference for Tesla's Cybertruck over Rivian's offerings in a post on X. Gerber labeled his view as "controversial" but highlighted anticipation for Rivian's upcoming R2 crossover SUV. This commentary may have contributed to the downward pressure on Rivian shares, especially amid competitive challenges from Tesla and others in the electric vehicle market. Additionally, while there is enthusiasm for new truck releases and positive outlooks for Rivian's future models, concerns persist about potential shareholder dilution following a recent capital raise announcement. In pre-market trading, Rivian shares are declining significantly, reflecting these mixed sentiments and competitive pressures.
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