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Thursday, February 26

Noteworthy macro moves today: USD/CNH -0.2%. Oil (WTI) -1.8%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) +0.7%. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) -1.0%. JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) +0.1%.

Global equity markets are trading mixed following the release of U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data this morning, which showed claims at 212,000—slightly below expectations of 215,000—indicating some stability in the labor market despite ongoing economic concerns.

Additionally, continuing claims fell to 1,833,000, suggesting a modest improvement in employment conditions.In Europe, equity indices are generally higher as positive sentiment builds from Nvidia's strong earnings report that alleviated fears regarding AI spending disruptions; however, geopolitical tensions surrounding U.S.-Iran negotiations continue to weigh on investor sentiment.

The Eurozone's Economic Sentiment Indicator fell to 98.3 from January's high of 99.3 and below expectations of an increase to 99.8, reflecting weakened confidence among manufacturers and service providers.

Meanwhile, oil prices have dropped significantly today, with WTI crude down by about 2%. This decline is influenced by concerns over potential military conflict in the Middle East and its implications for supply dynamics amid fluctuating global demand forecasts. It is contributing to a cautious outlook among traders as they assess the impact of geopolitical risks on market stability moving forward.

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) [-2.0%]
United States Oil Fund LP (USO) has experienced a price decline of 2.0% during the pre-market session. This movement coincides with a drop in US WTI crude futures, which have reached their lowest level this week, falling significantly amid ongoing nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran in Geneva. The geopolitical tensions stemming from recent U.S. sanctions on entities associated with Tehran's oil trade are contributing to bearish sentiment in the oil market. As negotiations pause and are set to resume later today, the market remains sensitive to developments in these discussions, further influencing oil price dynamics.

iShares Silver Trust (SLV) [-1.4%]
iShares Silver Trust (SLV) has experienced a decline of 1.4% since Wednesday. Recent social media discussions reveal mixed sentiments regarding SLV's price trajectory, with some users suggesting a peak has been reached. Concerns have been raised about potential market instability, particularly in relation to silver trading above $80, which was linked to fears of a bank run. Concurrently, geopolitical tensions involving the United States and Iran have led to a rise in gold prices, potentially exerting downward pressure on silver values. The U.S. dollar has weakened against major currencies, further complicating the landscape for precious metals. Additionally, the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) has seen a decline, reflecting broader market sentiment that may be influencing SLV's recent drop. Notably, silver buyers entered the market after SLV's close, resulting in a slight uptick from the previous closing price.

TTD | -15.0% | -1.6B
Trade Desk Inc | Advertising
Trade Desk Inc has experienced a notable decline in its stock price, dropping significantly following a series of negative analyst revisions after its recent earnings report. Truist Securities lowered its price target from 60 to 50, while Needham and others adjusted their targets to a range of 17 to 40. Loop Capital downgraded its rating from Buy to Hold, setting a new target of 25, down from 75. The company's first-quarter guidance was disappointing, forecasting revenue of at least 678 million, which is below the consensus estimate of 699.16 million. Despite reporting Q4 earnings with revenue of 847 million, exceeding estimates, concerns arose over the projected Q1 EBITDA of approximately 195 million, lower than the expected 223 million. Social media discussions reflected apprehensions about growth deceleration and competitive pressures within the ad-tech sector, alongside mentions of potential acquisitions.

CELH | +12.5% | +1.7B
Celsius Holdings Inc | Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Celsius Holdings Inc. reported strong fourth-quarter results, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.26, exceeding analyst estimates by $0.07. Revenue reached $721.6 million, significantly surpassing expectations and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 117%. This growth was supported by contributions from recent acquisitions, including Alani Nu and Rockstar Energy. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 47.4%, down from the previous year's 50.2% due to integration costs and rising product expenses. For 2025, Celsius anticipates total revenue of $2.5 billion, marking an 86% increase from the prior year. Social media discussions highlight a surge in CELH's stock price, driven by the earnings beat, with users noting a significant pre-market increase following the announcement.

NTNX | +14.6% | +1.6B
Nutanix Inc | Application Software
Nutanix Inc has experienced a notable price increase in premarket trading, following the release of strong fiscal Q2 results. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of 0.56, exceeding estimates of 0.45, alongside revenues of 722.8 million, surpassing expectations of 709.9 million. Additionally, Nutanix announced a strategic multi-year partnership with AMD, which includes a 150 million equity investment and an additional 100 million for joint research and development initiatives. This partnership aims to develop an open AI infrastructure platform for enterprise applications. Discussions on social media have highlighted the significance of this collaboration and the company's financial performance, noting an annual recurring revenue of 2.36 billion and a gross margin of 87.4%.

ZM | -5.5% | -1.4B
Zoom Video Communications Inc | Application Software
Zoom Video Communications reported its fourth-quarter results, revealing an adjusted EPS of 1.44, missing the consensus estimate of 1.49. Revenue for the quarter reached 1.25 billion, surpassing expectations of 1.23 billion and reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.3%. The company provided first-quarter adjusted EPS guidance of 1.40 to 1.42, below the anticipated 1.45. For fiscal year 2027, Zoom projected an adjusted EPS of 5.77 to 5.81, significantly lower than the consensus of 5.97. The operating margin was reported at 20%, with an adjusted operating margin of 39.3%. Discussions on social media highlighted both revenue growth and the implications of Zoom's performance, with emphasis on its strategic investments in AI. Despite the earnings miss, revenue growth was noted as a positive aspect amid broader market reactions.

NU | -4.8% | -3.6B
Nu Holdings Ltd | Diversified Banks
Nu Holdings Ltd. reported its Q4 earnings on February 25, 2026, revealing a net profit of 894.8 million and revenues of 4.86 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of 3.763 billion. The return on equity was reported at 33%, with a consolidated loan book totaling 32.7 billion. However, the company faced a 90-day delinquency rate of 6.6%. Following the earnings announcement, the stock dropped significantly in after-hours trading, closing at 15.60. Social media discussions highlighted the company's position as a leading neobank in Latin America, with a bullish price target of 18 for December 2026. The conversations noted a 55% growth in net income and improving credit margins, alongside a total client base of 131 million. The earnings report indicated an EPS of 0.17 against an estimate of 0.18, with revenues surpassing expectations at 4.857 billion.

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