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Tuesday, February 11

Noteworthy macro moves today: Copper -2.9%. Oil (WTI) +1.3%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) +0.8%. 

Recent market movements are significantly influenced by the upcoming testimony of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before Congress, scheduled for 15:00 GMT today. Investors are keenly awaiting insights on monetary policy and potential impacts from President Trump's newly announced tariffs on steel and aluminum imports set to take effect in March.

In economic data releases, UK retail sales showed a year-on-year increase of 2.5% in January, surpassing expectations but reflecting a slowdown compared to December's figures. Meanwhile, France reported a slight decrease in its unemployment rate to 7.3%, which is below analysts' forecasts; this could indicate improving labor conditions within Europe amidst ongoing tariff discussions that may affect overall economic sentiment.

The broader financial markets have reacted cautiously with U.S stock futures trading lower as investors digest these developments alongside rising Treasury yields driven by inflation concerns linked to the new tariffs imposed by Trump’s administration. The uncertainty surrounding both fiscal policies and central bank responses continues to shape investor behavior across global equity indices.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) [-1.0%]
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) experienced a decline of approximately 1.0% in pre-market trading, reflecting ongoing concerns surrounding inflation and trade tariffs. Consumer inflation expectations have surged to 4.3%, prompting a shift toward gold as a hedge against economic instability. President Trump's recent announcement of a flat 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports has intensified fears of trade conflicts, further driving demand for gold. Concurrently, gold was trading lower at around $2,933.01 after reaching record highs earlier in the week. Social media discussions highlighted a recent peak in gold prices, with speculation about its potential to reach $3,000 per ounce amid geopolitical tensions. Additionally, silver prices dropped significantly, which may be influencing the movement in GLD, given their historical correlation.

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) [+1.5%]
United States Oil Fund LP (USO) has seen a price increase of 1.5% in pre-market trading on Tuesday. This uptick coincides with a rise in crude oil prices, driven by escalating concerns over supply disruptions from Russian and Iranian oil due to ongoing sanctions. As of early Tuesday, Brent crude rose to approximately $76.72 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude reached around $73.10 per barrel. Notably, Russian oil production has reportedly fallen short of its OPEC+ quota, alleviating fears of oversupply. Furthermore, social media discussions have highlighted trading activity related to USO options, amidst broader market dynamics influenced by geopolitical tensions and recent trade tariffs that may affect global economic growth and energy demand.

KO | +3.2% | +9.2B
Coca-Cola Co | Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Coca-Cola Co. reported strong fourth-quarter results, with adjusted earnings per share of 0.55, exceeding analyst expectations of 0.52. Revenue rose by 6% year-over-year to 11.5 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of 10.68 billion. Unit case volume increased by 2%, reversing a decline from the previous quarter. The company noted a significant 14% growth in organic revenues, driven by a 9% increase in price/mix. Looking ahead, Coca-Cola anticipates organic revenue growth of 5% to 6% and comparable EPS growth of 2% to 3% for fiscal year 2025. Following these results, the stock reacted positively, climbing approximately 3% in premarket trading.

HUM | +2.5% | +809.9M
Humana Inc | Managed Health Care
Humana Inc has reported its Q4 2024 earnings, revealing an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $(2.16), aligning with estimates, while revenues reached $29.21 billion, exceeding the expected $28.84 billion. The adjusted insurance benefit ratio was noted at 91.9%, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 10%. For fiscal year 2025, Humana reaffirmed its adjusted EPS guidance at approximately $16.25, slightly below the consensus estimate of $16.71. The company has also provided guidance for consolidated revenue in 2025, projecting between $126 billion and $128 billion, reflecting an anticipated growth of about 8% at the midpoint. Additionally, Humana expects net membership growth of around 200,000 in its Medicare Part D plans, a revision from previous expectations of flat membership. Following these announcements, Humana's stock price increased significantly.

DD | +5.5% | +1.9B
Dupont De Nemours Inc | Specialty Chemicals
Dupont de Nemours Inc. reported its fourth-quarter earnings, revealing an adjusted EPS of 1.13, exceeding the consensus estimate of 0.98 by over 15%. This figure represents a nearly 30% increase from the previous year's 0.87. The company also posted quarterly sales of 3.092 billion, surpassing expectations of 3.068 billion and reflecting year-over-year growth of approximately 6.7%. For the first quarter of 2025, Dupont anticipates an adjusted EPS of around 0.95 and net sales of about 3.025 billion. Additionally, the company provided a full-year 2025 outlook, projecting adjusted EPS between 4.30 and 4.40, with net sales estimated at 12.8 billion to 12.9 billion. Following the earnings announcement, Dupont's stock experienced a notable increase of 5%.

SHOP | -3.8% | -5.6B
Shopify Inc | Internet Services & Infrastructure
Shopify Inc. reported fourth-quarter sales of $2.81 billion, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $2.73 billion and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 31%. The company also posted earnings per share of $0.44, slightly above expectations. Monthly recurring revenue was recorded at $178 million, below the forecast of $182.4 million, while adjusted net income fell short of the FactSet estimate at $458 million against an expected $543 million. Following the earnings announcement, Shopify's stock price experienced a significant decline, dropping approximately 8%. In addition, Citi raised its price target for Shopify from $143 to $175, maintaining a "Buy" rating. The S&P 500 Index also saw a minor decline, which may have influenced Shopify's stock movement.

FIS | -10.3% | -4.2B
Fidelity National Information Services Inc | Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Fidelity National Information Services Inc. reported its fourth-quarter results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.40, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.36. However, revenue of $2.60 billion fell slightly short of the expected $2.63 billion. The company provided first-quarter adjusted EPS guidance between $1.17 and $1.22, below the consensus of $1.28, and projected full-year 2025 revenue of $10.435 billion to $10.495 billion, also lower than the consensus estimate of $10.59 billion. Following these announcements, shares of FIS have dropped significantly. Concurrently, social media discussions highlighted FIS's new partnership with Affirm, which will enable pay-over-time solutions for debit cardholders, potentially enhancing FIS's competitive positioning in the financial technology sector. Affirm's stock rose by 2.5% after the announcement, indicating a positive market response to the collaboration.

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