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Tuesday, April 15

Noteworthy macro moves today: Copper -1.7%. 

Recent economic data from the Eurozone indicates a notable recovery in industrial production, with February's output rising by 1.2% year-on-year and exceeding market expectations of a decline. This marks the first annual growth in nearly two years, driven primarily by strong rebounds in non-durable consumer goods and capital goods sectors.

In political developments impacting financial markets, U.S. President Donald Trump has hinted at potential modifications to tariffs on auto imports from Mexico and Canada while also announcing exemptions for certain electronics products. These moves have contributed to positive sentiment across European equity indices such as Germany’s DAX, which rose approximately 1.5%, reflecting easing concerns over trade tensions.

Additionally, inflationary pressures are being closely monitored following recent comments from Federal Reserve officials regarding tariff impacts that could potentially lead to short-term price increases; however, they suggest these effects may be temporary overall. The mixed signals surrounding monetary policy amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties continue to influence investor behavior across global markets.

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) [-1.1%]
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has notably reduced its global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 to an increase of 730,000 barrels per day, down from the previous estimate of 1.03 million bpd. This adjustment follows a similar downgrade by OPEC and is attributed to escalating trade tensions. The IEA also predicts a further slowdown in demand growth to 690,000 bpd in 2026. In January, OECD oil production rose year-over-year by 3.7%, though refinery output declined slightly. Current oil stock levels increased by 3.8 million metric tons, reaching a total of 467.9 million metric tons. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil prices edged up slightly, closing at $61.52 per barrel, while Brent crude experienced a modest rise as well. These developments come amid a bearish sentiment regarding Brent crude prices, influenced by revised demand forecasts from OPEC+.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) [+1.1%]
Metaplanet Inc. has significantly increased its Bitcoin holdings to 4,525 BTC, valued at approximately $388.15 million, positioning itself as the tenth-largest corporate holder globally and the largest in Japan. Ongoing trade war uncertainties related to tariff policies under President Trump are expected to keep Bitcoin within a trading range of $73,000 to $94,000, amid concerns about market conditions affecting ETF inflows. Brazilian fintech Meliuz plans to integrate Bitcoin as a core asset in its treasury, reflecting growing institutional interest. Bitcoin has reclaimed the 84K mark despite a decline in the memecoin market, demonstrating resilience. Social media discussions reveal that BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF acquired 438 BTC valued at $36.7 million. Additionally, a sharp increase in the Global M2 Money Supply suggests a potential parabolic move for Bitcoin. Metaplanet_JP has also acquired 319 additional BTC, reinforcing its long-term commitment to cryptocurrency.

ERIC | +7.5% | +1.9B
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson | Communications Equipment
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson reported its Q1 2025 financial results, showing a net income of SEK 4.2 billion, an increase from SEK 2.6 billion in the prior year. Sales reached SEK 55.0 billion, up from SEK 53.3 billion year-over-year, although this fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of SEK 55.61 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) were SEK 1.24, missing expectations of SEK 1.48 by over 16%. Despite these misses, EPS rose significantly from SEK 0.77 in the previous year. Additionally, Ericsson successfully tested AI-native link adaptation with Bell Canada, which aims to improve network performance by enhancing downlink throughput and spectral efficiency. Conversations on social media highlighted key economic events and company announcements, including Ericsson's earnings report at 05:00.

BA | -3.5% | -3.3B
Boeing Co | Aerospace & Defense
Boeing Co's shares have dropped significantly, influenced by China's recent directive to halt all deliveries of Boeing jets and suspend purchases of U.S. aircraft parts. This decision arises from escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China, particularly following the imposition of steep tariffs by the U.S., which include a 145% increase. Social media discussions indicate that this action could delay the entry of approximately 10 Boeing 737 Max aircraft into service. The Chinese government is also urging its airlines to cease acquiring aircraft-related equipment from U.S. companies. This situation underscores the ongoing volatility in U.S.-China trade relations and its potential ramifications for Boeing's market position.

JNJ | -2.3% | -8.3B
Johnson & Johnson | Pharmaceuticals
Johnson & Johnson reported first-quarter earnings with an adjusted EPS of 2.77, surpassing the estimated 2.60, and quarterly sales of 21.89 billion, exceeding the consensus of 21.58 billion. The company revised its adjusted operational EPS guidance for 2025 down to a range of 10.50 to 10.70 from a previous estimate of 10.75 to 10.95. Conversely, J&J raised its sales outlook for 2025 to between 91 billion and 91.8 billion, up from prior guidance of 89.2 billion to 90 billion. Additionally, the firm announced a 4.8% increase in its quarterly dividend to 1.30 per share, marking the 63rd consecutive year of dividend increases. Social media discussions highlighted strong medicine revenue at 13.87 billion against an estimate of 13.43 billion, alongside mentions of new product launches expected to drive sales growth in the latter half of the year.

NFLX | +2.0% | +8.4B
Netflix Inc | Movies & Entertainment
Netflix Inc. is targeting a market capitalization of $1 trillion by 2030, aiming to double its revenue from $39 billion last year and generate approximately $9 billion in global ad sales by the decade's end. The company projects an increase in its subscriber base from 301.6 million to around 410 million, focusing on international markets such as India and Brazil. Additionally, Netflix plans to triple its operating income from $10 billion in 2023 to $30 billion by 2030. The company is set to announce its Q1 FY2025 earnings on April 17, with an expected earnings per share of $5.73 and revenue of $10.5 billion. Following the announcement of these ambitious targets, Netflix shares rose by 2.0% in premarket trading.

BAC | +1.7% | +4.8B
Bank of America Corp | Diversified Banks
Bank of America reported its first-quarter 2025 financial results, revealing a profit increase of 10% to $7.4 billion, or $0.90 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.82. Revenue rose 6% year-over-year to $27.4 billion, exceeding expectations of $26.97 billion. Net interest income grew 3% to $14.4 billion, above the estimated $14.36 billion. Sales and trading revenue climbed 11% to $5.7 billion, marking the twelfth consecutive quarter of growth in this segment. Total deposits reached $1.99 trillion, surpassing the anticipated $1.97 trillion. In premarket trading, shares initially rose by approximately 1.3%, reflecting positive market reception to these earnings announcements.

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