Oil Slumps, Hang Seng Slips as U.S. Data Split Risk Assets | MarketReader Minute

Global equity markets mixed as U.S. housing starts plummet and oil prices surge amid geopolitical tensions, while Germany's economic sentiment improves.

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Tuesday, June 16

Noteworthy macro moves today: Oil (WTI) -5.2%. Hang Seng 50 Index (China) -1.6%. US 10Y Treasury Bond Index +0.2%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock (SPCX) +5.0%. Tesla Inc (TSLA) -1.6%. Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) +0.4%.

Global equity markets are trading mixed following the release of key economic data and ongoing geopolitical developments, particularly the U.S.-Iran peace agreement that has significantly impacted oil prices and market sentiment. In the U.S., export prices rose by 1.3% month-over-month in May, slightly above expectations, while import prices surged by 1.9%, driven largely by a spike in fuel costs due to Middle Eastern tensions.

Also released this morning, U.S. housing starts fell sharply by 15.4%, reaching their lowest level since May 2020 at an annual rate of approximately 1.177 million units, indicating that high mortgage rates are dampening builder activity significantly more than anticipated by analysts who expected a less severe decline to around 1.43 million starts.

In Europe, Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index surged to a positive reading of 10.5 from a previous negative value of -10.2, reflecting increased optimism among analysts about future economic conditions despite ongoing inflation concerns linked to rising energy prices from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

United States Oil Fund LP (USO) [-3.3%]
WTI crude prices fell by 2.5% to $78.70, continuing a downward trend following the US-Iran deal agreement, which aims to lift the US blockade and open the Strait of Hormuz. This development is significant for United States Oil Fund LP, as it directly impacts the fund's performance. Reports suggest that the memorandum of understanding may lead to increased selling during summer oil rallies, further contributing to bearish sentiment in the oil market. In pre-market hours, United States Oil Fund LP is trading lower, reflecting these trends, and has experienced four consecutive daily declines. The overall sentiment in the oil sector remains negative, with major companies like ExxonMobil and Schlumberger also seeing declines.

iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) [-1.6%]
China's economic indicators released today reveal persistent weakness, notably contributing to the decline in iShares China Large-Cap ETF. Retail sales fell by 0.6% year-over-year in May, marking the first drop in over three years, while fixed asset investment decreased by 4.1%, significantly missing expectations. Although industrial production improved slightly at 4.5%, it was overshadowed by the negative retail sales data. Additionally, US-listed Chinese stocks faced broad weakness, with significant declines among major players such as Baidu and Alibaba. These factors have likely influenced today's downward movement in FXI. Earlier in the session, the ETF briefly pulled back from a session high but remains lower since Monday's close.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) [+1.0%]
The recent agreement between the U.S. and Iran to end their conflict has contributed to a significant drop in crude oil prices, alleviating global energy supply concerns. This geopolitical resolution supports gold as an alternative asset, positively influencing the VanEck Gold Miners ETF's performance. Central banks are also reportedly purchasing gold at unprecedented rates, indicating strong demand for the precious metal. In pre-market hours, GDX is trading higher since Monday's close, with a notable peak earlier in the session reflecting continued upward momentum. Key contributors to this performance include Newmont Corporation, Agnico Eagle Mines, and Wheaton Precious Metals, among others.

MRVL | -1.8% | -70.3B
Marvell Technology Inc | Information Technology

Marvell Technology Inc's stock is experiencing downward pressure in pre-market trading following the announcement that outgoing CFO Willem Meintjes plans to sell approximately $65 million worth of shares. This news comes amid a shift in retail sentiment on Stocktwits, which has moved from 'bullish' to 'neutral.' The appointment of former Adobe CFO Dan Durn as the new finance chief may also contribute to investor caution regarding the sustainability of the stock's recent rally. Despite having gained over 10% previously, the stock has retraced slightly, reflecting a more cautious outlook among investors.

MU | +1.7% | +20.4B
Micron Technology Inc | Information Technology

Micron Technology Inc is experiencing upward momentum in pre-market trading ahead of its fiscal third-quarter earnings report scheduled for June 24. The stock's advance reflects positive sentiment in the memory and data storage sector, buoyed by significant price target increases from RBC Capital and TD Cowen, which have heightened expectations for growth. Peer companies such as Western Digital and Seagate Technology have also seen notable gains, contributing to the sector's overall strength. Additionally, discussions on social media highlight Micron's strong positioning in the artificial intelligence sector, where demand for high-speed memory chips is expected to drive substantial growth opportunities. Despite claims of reaching an all-time high, analysts remain bullish on Micron, viewing it as a key beneficiary of the ongoing AI data center build-out.

QCOM | +4.0% | +10.1B
Qualcomm Inc | Information Technology

Qualcomm Inc is reportedly in discussions to acquire AI chip design startup Tenstorrent for between $8 billion and $10 billion, as reported by The Information. This potential acquisition aims to enhance Qualcomm's capabilities in the AI chip sector and would represent a significant premium over Tenstorrent's last valuation. The talks align with Qualcomm's strategy to expand its portfolio and reduce dependency on ARM technologies. CEO Cristiano Amon noted that the company is developing over 40 new AI device designs, which may position Qualcomm to compete more effectively with Nvidia in the data center and edge AI markets. In pre-market trading, shares of Qualcomm are advancing, reflecting positive market sentiment surrounding the acquisition discussions.

INFY | +3.1% | +1.5B
Infosys Ltd | Information Technology

Infosys Ltd has announced a long-term collaboration with Valmet, aimed at modernizing Valmet's core IT services and facilitating comprehensive IT transformation. This partnership will leverage Infosys' technologies, including Infosys Topaz and Infosys Cobalt, to enhance operational efficiency and align IT operations with business priorities. The initiative is designed to improve resilience and long-term business agility, supporting Valmet's strategic objectives. This news likely contributed to the positive movement in Infosys' stock during pre-market hours, where it is trading higher since Monday's close.

SATS | +1.5% | +0.5B
EchoStar Corp | Communication Services

EchoStar Corp's stock has gained traction in pre-market hours, driven by an update from New Street Research analyst David Barden, who revised the firm's valuation for the company to $159 per share. This adjustment reflects the anticipated value of EchoStar's stake in SpaceX, supported by a projected price target for SpaceX of $165, potentially elevating EchoStar's implied value to $161 per share. Barden described owning SpaceX stock through EchoStar at current levels as an "attractive proposition." Additionally, retail interest on Stocktwits has surged, indicating increased bullish sentiment around EchoStar in recent days. Earlier in the session, the stock pulled back from a session high but remains higher since Monday's close.

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