⚡️Refinery Shutdowns and Inventory Surprises Shake Energy Markets: Exxon Cuts Production, While Hurricane Francine Spurs Oil Prices | Energy Sector Insights

Crude oil inventories have risen, contrary to expectations, which has influenced market sentiment regarding energy investments. Additionally, the latest CPI report suggests persistent inflation pressures, potentially affecting Federal Reserve interest rate decisions .

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Wednesday, September 11

XLE [-1.8%]
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is down 1.8%, coinciding with a broader market decline as the Dow Jones Index has dropped 1.51%. Key holdings are also experiencing notable declines, with Exxon Mobil Corporation's shares falling due to reduced production at its Baton Rouge refinery in response to Hurricane Francine. Other major U.S. oil producers are similarly curtailing operations. ConocoPhillips has reached a 14-month low, reflecting a significant drop in its stock price. Despite a recent rise in WTI crude prices, energy prices overall have decreased slightly. Crude oil inventories have risen, contrary to expectations, which has influenced market sentiment regarding energy investments. Additionally, the latest CPI report suggests persistent inflation pressures, potentially affecting Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and further impacting the energy sector.

USO [+0.3%]
The United States Oil Fund LP (USO) is currently experiencing a price increase of 0.3%. Recent data from the EIA indicates that crude inventories rose by 833,000 barrels to 419.14 million, surpassing the expected 711,000-barrel build. Gasoline stocks saw a significant rise of 2.31 million barrels, well above the forecasted increase of 75,000 barrels. Distillate inventories also increased by 2.31 million barrels against an anticipated build of 90,000 barrels. Concurrently, WTI crude prices have risen by over 2%, recovering above $66.80 per barrel, driven by concerns over Hurricane Francine affecting offshore operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Despite fluctuations in inventory reports, USO's response to API data has been minimal, showing no immediate change after a surprising drop in crude oil inventories reported by the API.

BOIL [+3.5%]
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (BOIL) has seen its price increase during Wednesday's market hours. This movement coincides with a nearly 1.9% rise in natural gas prices, driven by a significant surge in crude oil prices, which rose over 2%. The crude oil increase is attributed to a notable drop in U.S. crude inventories and concerns regarding Hurricane Francine, which may disrupt output and lead to shutdowns of offshore oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. Additionally, expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have shifted following the release of today's CPI report, which highlighted persistent inflation pressures. This shift could further influence energy market dynamics, including natural gas pricing strategies.

RYDAF | $34.04 | +5.4% | +11.9B

XOM | $108.71 | -1.9% | -9.3B

CVX | $136.43 | -1.3% | -3.3B

DK | -4.6% | -54.5M
Delek US Holdings Inc | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Delek US Holdings Inc (DK) has experienced a significant price decline of 4.8% during market hours on Wednesday. This movement coincides with a broader sector trend, as Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) has dropped due to plans to reduce production at its Baton Rouge refinery to 20% capacity in anticipation of Hurricane Francine. This operational scaling back among Gulf oil producers reflects sector-wide concerns that may also be influencing DK's performance. Additionally, recent EIA reports indicated a surprising increase in gasoline stocks, which rose by over 2 million barrels, contrary to expectations of a decline. Crude oil inventories also saw a modest rise, contributing to overall market volatility. Historically, DK's price movements are sensitive to these inventory changes, further contextualizing its current underperformance relative to sector peers.

MUR | -1.6% | -84.0M
Murphy Oil Corp | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Murphy Oil Corp is currently evacuating non-essential personnel from its Gulf of Mexico assets, although the company expects minimal operational impact from this decision. The stock has dropped significantly, aligning with the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund, which has also seen a notable decline. This movement coincides with Exxon Mobil's announcement to cut production at its Baton Rouge refinery due to Hurricane Francine, raising sector-wide concerns. Additionally, recent data from the EIA revealed a larger-than-expected increase in gasoline stocks, with actual figures at 2.311 million barrels, diverging from the anticipated decrease. Crude oil inventories also rose, albeit below expectations. These macro events have contributed to heightened volatility in Murphy Oil's stock performance.

XOM | -1.9% | -9.3B
Exxon Mobil Corp | Integrated Oil & Gas

Exxon Mobil Corp is experiencing a notable decline, aligning with a broader downturn in the Integrated Oil & Gas sub-sector. The company has announced plans to reduce production at its Baton Rouge refinery to as low as 20% of its 522,500 barrel-per-day capacity in anticipation of Hurricane Francine, which is expected to bring severe weather conditions. Other Gulf oil producers are similarly scaling back operations. Additionally, Exxon has withdrawn from bidding for Galp Energia's 40% stake in Namibia’s Mopane oil discovery, which is estimated to hold 10 billion barrels of oil and gas valued at over $10 billion. Currently, Exxon shares are down more than 1%.

PBF | -4.7% | -170.7M
PBF Energy Inc | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

PBF Energy Inc has experienced a significant decline, moving lower in tandem with the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sub-sector. This downturn is reflected in the broader market, particularly with the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) also declining due to Exxon Mobil's announcement of reduced production at its Baton Rouge refinery amidst Hurricane Francine. Additionally, PBF Energy has notified California agencies about increased flaring activities at its Torrance refinery, which may heighten regulatory scrutiny and environmental concerns. This operational adjustment could indicate challenges ahead for the refinery's performance, leading to potential fines or restrictions. Recent analyst activity has also turned negative, with several firms downgrading their ratings and adjusting price targets downward, reflecting concerns over PBF's recent earnings performance and revenue decline.

VLO | -3.4% | -1.5B
Valero Energy Corp | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Valero Energy Corp is experiencing a significant decline, moving in tandem with the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sub-sector, which is also trending lower. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund has dropped notably, influenced by Exxon Mobil Corporation's announcement to reduce production at its Baton Rouge refinery due to Hurricane Francine, raising concerns about potential impacts on oil production. Additionally, Valero has been affected by recent macroeconomic events regarding U.S. crude and gasoline stock changes. Crude oil inventories rose, albeit below expectations, while gasoline stocks surged against anticipated decreases. Historically, Valero exhibits greater volatility in response to these EIA reports compared to its sector peers, which may further explain its current price movement.

LEU | +5.9% | +36.2M
Centrus Energy Corp | Coal & Consumable Fuels

Centrus Energy Corp has entered into a contingent supply commitment with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) to support the construction of new uranium enrichment capacity at its American Centrifuge Plant in Piketon, Ohio. This agreement involves a decade-long delivery of Low-Enriched Uranium (LEU) to fuel Korea's reactors. Centrus has secured $1.8 billion in contingent sales commitments, dependent on final agreements and significant public and private investment. This move is pivotal for re-establishing a large-scale, U.S.-owned uranium enrichment capability. Concurrently, Energy Fuels Inc has seen a notable increase in its stock, driven by remarks from Russian President Vladimir Putin regarding potential export restrictions on uranium, which has positively influenced sentiment across uranium equities. Energy Fuels is also advancing its Nichols Ranch uranium project in Wyoming, further highlighting the interconnectedness within the sector.

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