Goldman, UnitedHealth Rally on Earnings as SMH and EWY Slide | MarketReader Minute
Global equity markets show mixed performance amid rising inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions, with U.S. Treasury yields increasing and cryptocurrencies gaining traction ahead of major bank earnings reports.
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Tuesday, October 13
Noteworthy macro moves today: US 10Y Treasury Bond Index +0.3%. Bitcoin +2.0%. Ethereum +2.4%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: SK Hynix Inc (SKHY) -6.2%. Micron Technology Inc (MU) -4.9%. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) -2.4%.
Global equity indices are trading mixed today, with European markets generally higher while Asian markets are lower. The U.S. market is also showing a mixed performance, with the Dow and Russell 2000 rising while the Nasdaq 100 declines. This divergence reflects ongoing concerns about inflation and geopolitical tensions affecting investor sentiment.
In Germany, the inflation rate for September was confirmed at 3.3%, up from 2.9% in August, marking the highest level since December 2023. This increase is primarily driven by a surge in energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions related to the Iran conflict and rising crude oil costs, which could influence future monetary policy decisions by the European Central Bank.
U.S. Treasury yields are reacting to these inflationary pressures; notably, the US 10Y Treasury Bond index has risen by approximately 0.3%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both seen gains of around 2%, indicating some resilience in cryptocurrency markets despite broader economic uncertainties.
Market participants are particularly focused on upcoming earnings reports from major banks like JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup later today, which could provide further insights into corporate health amid these macroeconomic challenges.

iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) [-3.8%]
The iShares MSCI South Korea ETF is declining in pre-market trading, influenced by significant drops in key holdings such as SK Hynix and SK Telecom, amid a broader downturn in the KOSPI index. This decline follows negative trends in the semiconductor sector, exacerbated by adverse comments from Broadcom's CEO regarding AI investments. While Korea Electric Power Corp managed slight gains, they were insufficient to counterbalance the overall downward movement in the fund. Additionally, rising crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions, particularly related to recent attacks on Saudi Arabia’s aviation infrastructure, are weighing on investor sentiment towards South Korean markets. Users on X noted substantial buying activity in EWY, highlighting a purchase of 4.83k contracts for November $190 calls.
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) [-1.8%]
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF is experiencing a decline in pre-market hours, driven by significant drops in key holdings including Micron Technology, NVIDIA, Marvell Technology, Applied Materials, and Advanced Micro Devices. NVIDIA's stock continued to fall amid heightened competition in the AI chip market, particularly following Microsoft's introduction of its Maia 300 chip, which aims to lessen dependence on NVIDIA's offerings. This competitive landscape is further complicated by reports of a decrease in NVIDIA's market share within China's AI chip sector. Additionally, Applied Materials announced the opening of a new semiconductor research and development facility, but its shares also declined. The ETF is trading lower, reflecting broader weakness in the semiconductor sector.
iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) [+1.4%]
Goldman Sachs reported strong third-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, potentially boosting investor sentiment towards financial assets linked to construction and housing. The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF is advancing in pre-market trading, led by gains in key holdings such as D.R. Horton, Lennar, Home Depot, Lowe's, and Cavco Industries. This upward movement reflects a rebound in the housing sector, with these stocks showing positive performance amid broader market conditions. Falling oil prices, following Russia's partial lifting of diesel export restrictions, may also ease costs for companies involved in home construction materials. The ETF is trading higher since Monday's close.

BP | +2.4% | +18.4B
BP PLC | Energy
BP PLC reported that it has achieved its net debt target for 2027, driven by a surge in prices that resulted in substantial profits from energy trading and refining during the third quarter. The company expects upstream production to be between 2.19 million and 2.24 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, slightly exceeding prior estimates. However, BP anticipates post-tax impairment charges of $3 billion to $4.5 billion related mainly to its energy transition businesses, with full third-quarter results set to be announced on October 30. In pre-market trading, shares of BP are advancing, showing a notable increase since Monday's close. Social media posts have highlighted the company's upcoming write-downs and its CEO's acknowledgment of past mismanagement of shareholder capital.
UNH | +3.8% | +13.7B
UnitedHealth Group Inc | Health Care
UnitedHealth Group shares advanced in pre-market trading following the release of third-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts' expectations. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.69, exceeding the consensus estimate of $4.14, and revenue of $112.69 billion, above the expected $111.49 billion. Additionally, UnitedHealth raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $20.50, which also exceeded analyst forecasts. The medical care ratio improved to 88.4%, reflecting effective cost management strategies. Social media posts noted a pullback in the stock price but suggested that institutional demand at a key level could signal potential upward movement in the future.
V | +1.5% | +11.0B
Visa Inc | Financials
Visa Inc. has received approval from the People's Bank of China to prepare for establishing a domestic bankcard clearing institution, a key step toward entering China's substantial payment market. This approval enables Visa to settle domestic yuan transactions directly through its network, a move anticipated since its application in May 2020. CEO Ryan McInerney highlighted the significance of this development for Visa's commitment to China, emphasizing the importance of U.S.-China relations. The news has generated positive sentiment around Visa's stock. In pre-market trading, shares are advancing, continuing a trend that has seen the stock close higher for the last eight trading days.
GS | +3.5% | +9.7B
Goldman Sachs Group Inc | Financials
Goldman Sachs Group Inc reported robust third-quarter earnings, with net income rising to $5.122 billion, or $17.01 per share, up from $3.860 billion, or $12.25 per share, year-over-year. Revenue increased by 23% to $18.679 billion, surpassing analyst expectations, driven by a 72% surge in equities trading revenue to $6.44 billion and a 21% rise in investment banking fees to $3.22 billion. The firm also announced a quarterly dividend of $5.00 per share and a $3 billion buyback program. In pre-market trading, shares advanced following the earnings release. Users on X noted the strong performance in equities trading as a key factor in the earnings beat, contrasting it with JPMorgan's recent earnings miss.
NWG | +3.3% | +4.7B
NatWest Group PLC | Financials
Barclays upgraded NatWest Group PLC from Equal Weight to Overweight, raising its price target to 850 pence from 740 pence, citing potential earnings growth from higher interest rates and continued business expansion. The analysts forecast a 50-basis-point increase in the terminal Bank Rate assumption to 4.25%, which could boost NatWest's earnings per share by about 5% in 2028. The integration of Evelyn wealth management is reportedly progressing well, providing additional revenue opportunities. In pre-market trading, NatWest shares are advancing, reflecting the positive analyst sentiment. Earlier in the session, the stock reached a peak before pulling back slightly.
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