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Tuesday, November 11

Noteworthy macro moves today: Bitcoin -1.4%.

Global equity markets are trading higher amid optimism following the U.S. Senate's passage of a short-term funding bill to end the longest government shutdown in history, which has bolstered investor sentiment across regions.

In economic news from the UK, unemployment rose unexpectedly to 5% for Q3 2025, above market expectations and marking its highest level since May 2021. This increase is contributing to speculation about potential interest rate cuts by the Bank of England as wage growth also slowed below forecasts.

Japan reported significant improvements in both bank lending and current account surplus figures today; bank lending grew at its fastest pace since April 2021 while September’s current account surplus reached a record high. These developments indicate strengthening financial conditions that may support continued economic recovery efforts within Japan amidst global uncertainties.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) [-1.6%]
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has experienced a decline of 1.6% since Monday, with current trading around $105,659. Social media discussions highlight mixed sentiments; notably, China has accused the U.S. of stealing 127,000 BTC in a significant crypto hack, reflecting ongoing tensions in the digital currency space. Concurrently, there is a bearish sentiment as users note that "the bulls are losing momentum" amidst a "sea of red." The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index stands at 26, indicating fear in the market. Despite this, some posts mention a potential bullish MACD cross for BTC and recent accumulation of over 36,000 BTC by whales. Additionally, Bitcoin's acceptance has been bolstered by Jack Dorsey's Square enabling payments for 4 million U.S. merchants. Ethereum (ETH/USD) has also declined by 0.70%, which may be influencing Bitcoin's price movement.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) [-0.9%]
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has seen a daily decline of 1.01%. The U.S. Senate has passed a short-term funding bill aimed at ending the longest government shutdown in history, which is anticipated to positively affect market sentiment. In terms of individual holdings, notable contributors to the ETF's performance include NVIDIA, which dropped significantly, and Micron Technology, also down markedly. Other contributors to the decline were Broadcom, Applied Materials, and Lam Research, each experiencing notable decreases. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 Index has declined by 0.50%, reflecting a broader market pullback that may be influencing SMH's performance as it aligns with historical correlations among technology and semiconductor stocks. AMD is set to present its strategy for entering the AI chip market, amid competition with Nvidia, which could have implications for the semiconductor sector.

RKLB | +8.1% | +2.2B
Rocket Lab USA Inc | Aerospace & Defense
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. reported its third-quarter financial results, achieving record revenue of $155 million, a 48% increase year-over-year, and a GAAP gross margin of 37%. The company narrowed its loss to $0.03 per share, improving from a loss of $0.10 per share in the same quarter last year. During the quarter, Rocket Lab secured 17 dedicated Electron launch contracts, setting a record for the company. For the fourth quarter, it anticipates revenue between $170 million and $180 million, with gross margins projected between 37% and 39%. Additionally, Rocket Lab completed the acquisition of Geost for up to $325 million and updated its Neutron rocket schedule, now expecting the vehicle to arrive at Launch Complex 3 in Q1 2026. Following the earnings report, RKLB's stock rose significantly in after-hours trading.

SONY | +5.1% | +1.8B
Sony Group Corp | Consumer Electronics
Sony Group Corporation reported robust financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with consolidated sales increasing from the previous year. Operating profit surged significantly, and net profit rose, both exceeding analyst expectations. The company raised its full-year profit forecast by a notable margin, anticipating strong performance in its music and semiconductor divisions. Additionally, Sony announced a substantial share buyback as part of its capital return strategy. Recent social media discussions highlighted the raised operating income forecast, lower tariff impacts, and impressive profit growth in the Imaging and Sensing Solutions unit, attributed to the AI boom. Earnings per share also surpassed expectations, although revenue slightly fell short of forecasts. The company's market capitalization was reported at 175.21 billion.

XPEV | +4.7% | +2.4B
Xpeng Inc | Automobile Manufacturers
Xpeng Inc. has seen a notable increase in its stock price, rising by approximately 5.0% since Monday. This movement follows reports of optimism regarding the company's profitability and the stock reaching a three-year high, fueled by advancements in humanoid robotics and artificial intelligence technology. Social media discussions highlighted a significant trading activity, with Xpeng's flow request moving substantially. The recent unveiling of their next-generation 'Iron' humanoid robot and plans for three AI robotaxi models set for 2026 have further contributed to this momentum. Additionally, Xpeng is set to announce its Q3 FY2025 earnings on November 17, with a revenue estimate of $2.9 billion, a significant increase from the previous year's $1.4 billion.

NVDA | -2.0% | -95.0B
NVIDIA Corp | Semiconductors
NVIDIA Corp has experienced a decline of 2.0%, influenced by a broader downturn in the Semiconductors sector. SoftBank Group recently disclosed the sale of its entire stake in NVIDIA for approximately $5.8 billion, comprising 32.1 million shares. This transaction was part of SoftBank's strategy to enhance capital utilization and fund investments in AI, particularly through its involvement with OpenAI. Following this announcement, NVIDIA shares saw a notable drop in premarket trading. Additionally, social media discussions highlighted NVIDIA's prior significant gain, attributed to strong market performance among AI-linked companies, but shifted focus to concerns regarding SoftBank's divestment. Concurrently, the Nasdaq 100 Index has declined, reflecting broader market sentiment that may also be affecting NVIDIA's stock movement.

VOD | +5.4% | +17.8B
Vodafone Group PLC | Wireless Telecommunication Services
Vodafone Group PLC has announced a share buyback program of up to EUR 500 million and expects its fiscal year 2026 adjusted EBITDAAL to be between EUR 11.3 billion and EUR 11.6 billion. The company reported a strong first-half performance, with revenue of EUR 19.6 billion and a pretax profit of EUR 2.11 billion. Notably, Vodafone has returned to growth in Germany, achieving a 0.5% increase in service revenue for the most recent quarter. An interim dividend of EUR 0.0225 has been proposed, marking the first increase in eight years, with an expected 2.5% rise in payouts for fiscal 2026. These developments have coincided with a rise in Vodafone's shares by 5.4% since Monday.

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