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Friday, February 13

Noteworthy macro moves today: Bitcoin +1.5%. Hang Seng 50 Index (China) -1.7%. Nikkei 225 Index (Japan) -1.6%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: Mastercard Inc (MA) +0.6%. Walmart Inc (WMT) -0.6%. Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) +0.4%. 

Global equity markets are trading lower following a significant sell-off on Wall Street driven by concerns over the impact of artificial intelligence on various sectors, particularly technology and commercial real estate. The Nasdaq Composite fell sharply, reflecting fears that AI advancements could disrupt traditional business models, leading to widespread declines across Asian markets today.

In the U.S., inflation data released this morning showed that the annual inflation rate slowed to 2.4% in January, below forecasts of 2.5%, while core inflation edged down to 2.5%. This deceleration in inflation may influence market expectations regarding future Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, with traders now anticipating that rates will remain unchanged for the near term.

Additionally, Eurozone economic data released earlier indicated a steady GDP growth rate of 0.3% for Q4 2025 and an employment increase exceeding expectations, suggesting resilience in the region's economy despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties affecting external balances and overall market sentiment.

iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) [-1.4%]
The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) has seen a decline of approximately 1.4% in pre-market trading. Recent comments from the German Chancellor highlight a new phase of open conflict, suggesting that China is redefining the international order, which may affect sentiment towards FXI. Concurrently, U.S. Consumer Price Index data revealed a month-over-month increase and a slower annual growth rate, indicating easing inflationary pressures that could influence Federal Reserve policy. Additionally, reports indicate that Alibaba may be added to a Pentagon list due to alleged military ties, leading to significant pre-market declines in its shares. Social media discussions reflect concerns over potential U.S. government actions impacting Chinese stocks, particularly those within FXI. The top contributors to FXI's performance include JD, TCOM, LI, and TCEHY, all showing declines, while YUMC posted a modest gain. The AUD/USD currency pair has also declined, reflecting broader market sentiment.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) [+1.6%]
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has increased by 1.6% since Thursday. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January showed a month-over-month increase of 0.2% and an annual growth rate of 2.4%, slightly below expectations, suggesting easing inflationary pressures. This has led to market adjustments regarding Federal Reserve policy and potential interest rate cuts, which may enhance Bitcoin's appeal as an alternative asset. Concurrently, Brazilian lawmakers have reintroduced a bill for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, allowing the acquisition of up to 1 million BTC. Bhutan has sold an additional $6.7 million in Bitcoin, continuing a three-week selling streak while retaining $372 million in its wallets. Social media discussions highlight extreme market fear and suggest Bitcoin is nearing a critical support level around $65,000, with some indicating it may be experiencing one of its largest capitulation events historically. Ethereum (ETH/USD) has also increased, reflecting a strong correlation with Bitcoin.

RIVN | +22.9% | +3.9B
Rivian Automotive Inc | Automobile Manufacturers
Rivian Automotive Inc. reported its fourth-quarter financial results on February 12, 2026, with revenue of $1.29 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.27 billion. The company produced 10,974 vehicles and delivered 9,745 during the quarter. Adjusted earnings per share were -$0.54, better than the forecasted -$0.68. For fiscal year 2026, Rivian anticipates delivering between 62,000 and 67,000 vehicles and projects capital expenditures of $1.95 billion to $2.05 billion. The firm noted strong reviews for its R2 pre-production builds, expected to begin customer deliveries in Q2 2026. Following the earnings report, Rivian's stock surged approximately 15% in after-hours trading, with analysts upgrading their outlook for the company, contributing to further price increases in pre-market trading.

ROKU | +16.9% | +2.4B
Roku Inc | Movies & Entertainment
Roku Inc. reported its fourth-quarter financial results on February 12, 2026, revealing significant growth with earnings per share of $0.53, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.28 by a substantial margin. Revenue for the quarter reached $1.39 billion, exceeding expectations of $1.35 billion and marking a year-over-year increase of 15.8%. The company projected first-quarter revenue at $1.20 billion, above the consensus of $1.16 billion, and anticipates total revenue for fiscal year 2026 to reach $5.50 billion. Notably, platform revenue grew 18% year-over-year to $1.224 billion, driven by strong video advertising and streaming services distribution. Following the earnings report, Roku's stock experienced a notable increase of approximately 16.3%, reflecting positive analyst sentiment regarding its robust ad growth and optimistic revenue forecasts for 2026.

AMAT | +10.7% | +32.2B
Applied Materials Inc | Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Applied Materials Inc reported strong first-quarter 2026 results, with adjusted earnings per share of 2.38, exceeding estimates of 2.20. Revenue reached 7.01 billion, surpassing the anticipated 6.87 billion. The company achieved an adjusted gross margin of 49.1% and generated 1.04 billion in free cash flow. Guidance for the second quarter is robust, projecting revenue between 7.15 billion and 8.15 billion, alongside adjusted EPS of 2.44 to 2.84, both above consensus estimates. The CEO highlighted expected growth of over 20% in the semiconductor equipment sector for the calendar year, driven by increased investments in AI computing. Social media discussions reflect optimism about the global semiconductor industry's potential to reach 1 trillion by 2026, fueled by demand for AI and memory semiconductors. Following these announcements, AMAT's stock experienced a notable increase in after-hours trading.

ABNB | +5.9% | +4.6B
Airbnb Inc | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Airbnb Inc. reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, revealing revenue of 2.78 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of 2.71 billion. Earnings per share were 0.56, below the expected 0.66. The company noted a significant increase in Gross Booking Value, reaching 20.4 billion, which reflects a 16% year-over-year growth. For Q1 2026, Airbnb anticipates revenue between 2.59 billion and 2.63 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of 2.54 billion. The CEO emphasized the positive impact of AI on customer support, stating that a custom AI agent resolves one-third of support issues without the need for live specialists. Additionally, Deutsche Bank has upgraded Airbnb to a "Buy" rating, citing an appealing risk/reward scenario. Social media discussions highlighted the strong performance metrics and guidance despite the EPS miss, contributing to a notable price increase in pre-market trading.

MGA | +10.8% | +2.0B
Magna International Inc | Automotive Parts & Equipment
Magna International Inc. reported its fourth-quarter earnings today, exceeding analyst expectations with an adjusted EPS of 2.18, surpassing the estimate of 1.79. Revenue for the quarter reached 10.85 billion, above the consensus of 10.49 billion. The company announced a 2% increase in its quarterly dividend to 0.495 per share, payable on March 13 to shareholders of record by February 27. Looking ahead, Magna projects FY2026 adjusted EPS between 6.25 and 7.25, with anticipated sales ranging from 41.9 billion to 43.5 billion. The company plans to repurchase the remaining 22 million shares under its current buyback authorization and expects capital spending of 1.5 billion to 1.6 billion for the year. Social media discussions highlight the positive earnings report, noting the earnings beat and raised dividend, while a recent post mentioned the stock trading at 57.82, reflecting favorable sentiment.

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