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Tuesday, July 15

Noteworthy macro moves today: Bitcoin -2.6%. Noteworthy US mega-cap moves today: NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) +4.3%. 

Recent economic data releases have highlighted significant inflationary pressures in the United States. The annual core consumer price index (CPI) rose to 2.9% for June, slightly below expectations of 3%, while overall CPI increased by 0.3%. This uptick has raised concerns about how President Trump's tariff policies may be influencing prices and could impact future Federal Reserve decisions regarding interest rates.

In geopolitical developments, President Trump announced a potential imposition of severe tariffs on Russia if no peace deal with Ukraine is reached within a specified timeframe. Additionally, he reiterated his criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's monetary policy stance during this period marked by heightened trade tensions and uncertainty surrounding U.S.-China relations.

Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await further clarity from upcoming earnings reports from major banks like JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup amid these macroeconomic challenges. Overall stock indices are showing mixed performance ahead of key financial disclosures that will likely influence market direction moving forward.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) [+2.1%]
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has seen a price increase of 2.1% since Monday. The recent lifting of certain U.S. chip export restrictions to China is expected to significantly benefit semiconductor companies, including Nvidia, which is part of SMH's portfolio. This development follows a period of revenue setbacks due to previous bans and could enhance growth estimates for these firms by around 10%. Additionally, China's GDP grew by 5.2% in Q2 2025, surpassing expectations and suggesting robust demand in the technology sector. Social media discussions have highlighted confidence in Nvidia's anticipated announcements, particularly regarding its approval to resume sales of H20 AI chips to China. Nvidia's shares have experienced increased trading activity following this news. The top contributors to SMH's performance included Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Micron Technology, and Applied Materials, all of which posted notable returns.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) [-2.6%]
Bitcoin has experienced a pullback to approximately 116,880 after reaching an all-time high of 122,838. This correction coincides with increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market, driven by uncertainty surrounding U.S. inflation data and profit-taking by major holders ahead of the Consumer Price Index release. The CPI report indicated a year-over-year increase in headline CPI at 2.7% and core CPI at 3%. Social media discussions have noted significant transactions, including a notable movement of 18,643 BTC valued at around $2 billion to Galaxy Digital and a sale of $2.34 billion worth of BTC by a dormant whale after 14 years. Additionally, Standard Chartered's launch of spot trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum is seen as a step towards institutional adoption. Ethereum has also declined, reflecting broader market sentiment, which may be contributing to Bitcoin's recent drop.

NVDA | +4.3% | +179.8B
NVIDIA Corp | Semiconductors
NVIDIA Corp is experiencing significant price movement, rising in tandem with the broader Semiconductors sector. The company has received U.S. government approval to resume sales of its H20 AI chip to China, a development following CEO Jensen Huang's meetings with President Trump and Chinese officials. Deliveries of the H20 GPU are expected to commence soon, alongside the introduction of a new RTX PRO GPU tailored for the Chinese market that complies with U.S. export controls. This news has led to increased trading activity in NVIDIA shares. Additionally, Advanced Micro Devices Inc has also seen a notable rise, moving up following its plans to ship Mi308 chips to China, which may be contributing to NVIDIA's upward trajectory. Analysts have reacted positively, with Melius Research raising NVIDIA's price target significantly, reflecting optimism about the company's future prospects in China.

AMD | +4.8% | +12.0B
Advanced Micro Devices Inc | Semiconductors
Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) is experiencing a notable price increase, aligning with the broader upward movement in the Semiconductors sector. Recently, AMD announced plans to ship its Mi308 chips to China, pending U.S. licensing review. Concurrently, unusual options trading activity has emerged, with 140 significant trades recorded; 45% of these reflect bullish sentiment, as call options valued at over $10 million outnumber puts valued at approximately $3.6 million. Current trading volume stands at nearly 38 million shares, with AMD priced at $146.45, marking a slight increase. Social media discussions highlight optimism surrounding AMD's new AI chips, which are expected to compete with Nvidia, alongside recent institutional interest from Westend Capital Management LLC, which acquired nearly 97,000 shares.

TTD | +13.5% | +5.6B
Trade Desk Inc | Advertising
Trade Desk Inc is experiencing a significant price increase, attributed to its upcoming inclusion in the S&P 500 index, where it will replace ANSYS. This change is set to take effect before the market opens on July 18, 2025. Following the announcement, Trade Desk's stock rose notably in after-hours trading. The company's market capitalization currently stands at $37.07 billion, with shares previously closing at $75.43. Analysts have expressed optimism regarding this inclusion, viewing it as a reflection of Trade Desk's strong position in the digital advertising sector. Social media discussions have highlighted the positive sentiment surrounding this development, with users sharing excitement about the stock's potential trajectory. The broader Advertising sector is also moving higher, contributing to Trade Desk's upward momentum.

NEGG | -14.7% | -1.7B
Newegg Commerce Inc | Computer & Electronics Retail
Newegg Commerce Inc. has seen a significant decline in its stock price following the release of its six-month financial results for 2025. The company reported projected net sales between $678.3 million and $713.1 million, alongside an expected net loss ranging from $1.7 million to $5.7 million. Additionally, Newegg announced a sales agreement to sell up to $65 million in common stock at a price of $0.43696 per share. Compounding this situation, a Form 4 filing disclosed a transaction involving 2.42 million shares at a price of $19.84, shared after market hours yesterday. Furthermore, Newegg has been affected by macroeconomic factors, including an annual inflation rate rise to 2.7% in June 2025, which aligns with historical sensitivity patterns observed within the Consumer Discretionary sector.

WFC | -3.2% | -9.1B
Wells Fargo & Co | Diversified Banks
Wells Fargo reported Q2 earnings with an EPS of 1.60, surpassing the consensus estimate of 1.40, and reflecting a year-over-year increase from 1.33. Revenue reached 20.82 billion, slightly above the expected 20.76 billion, marking a modest rise from the previous year's 20.69 billion. However, net interest income fell by 2% year-over-year to 11.71 billion, below the anticipated 11.89 billion. The bank's net income increased by 12% to 5.49 billion, coinciding with the removal of the asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve. Despite these positive earnings figures, shares declined approximately 3.1% in pre-market trading, influenced by guidance suggesting that net interest income for 2025 will be aligned closely with 2024 levels. Total average loans were reported at 916.7 billion, exceeding estimates, while total average deposits were slightly below expectations at 1.33 trillion.

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