Copper and China Equities Drop Amid Political Uncertainty, MongoDB Surges on Earnings | MarketReader Minute

Political turmoil in the U.S. and Europe drives market volatility, impacting Fed independence concerns, Treasury yields, and investor sentiment amid economic data releases.

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Wednesday, August 27

Noteworthy macro moves today: Copper -1.8%. Hang Seng 50 Index (China) -2.3%. A50 Index (China) -2.2%. 

Recent market movements are significantly influenced by political developments in the United States and Europe. President Donald Trump's attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has raised concerns about the independence of the Fed, leading to a mixed response from investors as they await further legal proceedings related to her lawsuit against Trump. This situation is contributing to fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields, with long-term rates remaining elevated amid inflation worries while short-term rates have dipped.

In economic data releases, durable goods orders for July showed a smaller-than-expected decline of 2.8%, which provided some support for investor sentiment regarding industrial activity and consumption outlooks despite ongoing trade tensions affecting broader markets. Additionally, consumer confidence fell less than anticipated according to recent reports; however, fears surrounding job security continue impacting overall economic expectations.

European markets face headwinds primarily due to rising political uncertainty stemming from France's upcoming confidence vote on September 8 concerning budget cuts proposed by Prime Minister François Bayrou’s minority government. This instability has led French equities lower recently and contributed negatively towards euro performance against major currencies like USD and GBP amidst growing apprehension over potential governmental collapse.

iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) [-2.3%]
The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) has seen a decline of over 2% in its daily return, coinciding with geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S. that are affecting trade policies and investor sentiment towards Chinese markets. The recent dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook by President Trump has also raised concerns about the Fed's independence, sparking speculation regarding potential interest rate cuts. Among the ETF's holdings, notable declines were observed in JD and LI, contributing negatively to FXI's performance. Additionally, the AUD/USD currency pair has dropped, suggesting broader market sentiment that may be influencing FXI's current trajectory.

iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG) [-0.9%]
Germany's GfK Consumer Climate for September has been reported at -23.6, notably lower than the estimated -21.5 and the revised prior figure of -21.7, indicating increased consumer pessimism regarding economic conditions. Concurrently, political uncertainty in the United States has escalated following President Donald Trump's actions concerning Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, raising concerns about Fed independence and potential interest rate cuts. This situation has contributed to fluctuations in financial markets and a strengthening of the US Dollar, which may affect the performance of the iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG) as it tracks large- and mid-cap German companies sensitive to currency movements. Additionally, the move in EUR/USD negatively impacted the ETF's performance.

MDB | +30.4% | +6.2B
MongoDB Inc | Internet Services & Infrastructure

MongoDB, Inc. reported robust second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.00, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.66. Revenue reached $591.4 million, surpassing expectations of $552.46 million and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 23.7%. The company raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to between $3.64 and $3.73, up from the previous estimate of $3.10, and increased its revenue outlook for FY2026 to a range of $2.34 billion to $2.36 billion, compared to the prior range of $2.25 billion to $2.29 billion. For Q3, MongoDB anticipates an adjusted EPS between $0.76 and $0.79, with projected sales of $587 million to $592 million, both above analyst estimates. Following the earnings announcement, shares rose significantly in after-hours trading, attributed to a double beat in Q2 results and notable growth in customer acquisition.

SATS | +7.3% | +1.1B
EchoStar Corp | Alternative Carriers

EchoStar Corp's stock experienced a significant surge following the announcement of a $23 billion deal with AT&T, which was reported approximately 9.5 hours ago. Shares closed up substantially in after-hours trading on the day of the report. Concurrently, social media discussions have highlighted interest from major telecom players, including Elon Musk's Starlink and T-Mobile, in acquiring some or all of EchoStar's spectrum. This follows AT&T's recent acquisition, and reports indicate that the FCC is pressuring EchoStar's chairman to sell unused airwaves, previously valued at around $30 billion. Posts circulating yesterday evening further emphasized the competitive landscape for these spectrum assets, reflecting a growing urgency in the telecom sector.

SNOW | +4.7% | +3.2B
Snowflake Inc. | Internet Services & Infrastructure

Snowflake Inc. shares are trading higher, buoyed by anticipation of its quarterly financial results, which will be reported after hours today. The stock's movement appears correlated with MongoDB's strong performance, as it recently reported better-than-expected second-quarter results, including significant revenue and adjusted earnings per share. This positive sentiment is reinforced by expectations that Snowflake will also deliver favorable results, with analysts predicting earnings of 27 cents per share and revenue of $1.09 billion. Social media discussions have highlighted MongoDB's impressive earnings, suggesting a bullish market sentiment that could extend to Snowflake and other tech stocks. Additionally, MongoDB has experienced a notable price increase, which may reflect broader market dynamics impacting Snowflake's performance.

RY | +3.3% | +6.6B
Royal Bank of Canada | Diversified Banks

Royal Bank of Canada reported third-quarter results that exceeded analysts' expectations, with a net income of CAD 5.414 billion and an adjusted EPS of CAD 3.84, surpassing the forecast of CAD 3.32. Revenues reached CAD 16.985 billion, above the anticipated CAD 16.031 billion. This performance reflects a year-over-year increase in adjusted EPS of over 17%. The bank's CET1 capital ratio was reported at 13.2%, while provisions for credit losses amounted to CAD 881 million, lower than expected. Concurrently, social media discussions highlighted Royal Bank of Canada's current trading price at CAD 137.68, marking a notable increase. Comparisons with the Bank of Nova Scotia revealed Royal Bank's higher revenue and lower price-to-earnings ratio, framing its competitive position within the banking sector as it approaches its earnings announcement.

OKTA | +4.0% | +642.2M
Okta Inc | Internet Services & Infrastructure

Okta Inc has seen a notable price increase, moving higher alongside the Internet Services & Infrastructure sector. The company recently reported robust second-quarter fiscal year 2026 results, achieving adjusted earnings per share of 0.91, surpassing analyst estimates of 0.84, and generating revenue of 728 million, exceeding expectations of 712 million. This represents a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. Additionally, Okta raised its fiscal 2026 guidance for adjusted EPS to a range of 3.33 to 3.38, up from 3.23 to 3.28, and increased its sales forecast to between 2.875 billion and 2.885 billion. The net income rose to 67 million from 29 million in the prior year, driven by an 18% year-over-year growth in subscription backlog, now totaling 4.15 billion. Social media discussions highlighted strong new product adoption and positive market sentiment following the earnings report.

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